| Bank of China: is expected in the four quarter of 2016 and the full year GDP growth of about 6.7% |
29 released the latest economic outlook report, the three quarter of this year, the overall China economic operation is relatively stable, appeared to stabilize investment and consumption and industrial production index recently, economic downward pressure eased, but is still in the bottoming process. Expected in the four quarter of 2016 and the annual GDP growth rate of about 6.7%, down in the government's target range set at the beginning of the year.
29, according to chinanews.com news, the study of international financial China bank released the same day in Beijing's "2016 four quarter financial outlook report" is expected, the fourth quarter of China exports continued to pick up, the fiscal policy continued to force, infrastructure investment, new industries in areas such as support, consumption, service industry will be steady growth, short-term economic tends to be stable.
But the report also warned that in the promotion of a variety of factors to stock, currency issuance, is expected to change under the China real estate market rising, rising house prices, enterprise deposits, household wealth caused housing narrow money (M1) is much higher than the growth rate of broad money (M2), the economy off the real to the imaginary problem more prominent.
The study of international financial China bank said macroeconomic research director Zhou Jingtong told reporters, the next period of time, China economy could continue to stabilize the situation there are three: one is the uncertainty of industrial recovery can be sustained; two is to add leverage between inventory and how to choose; three is in the business of deposits and residential real estate wealth under the background of M1, and the M2 growth rate of "price scissors" whether to continue to expand.
Bank of China report recommends that the current macroeconomic policy needs to balance the relationship between good and stable growth and curb asset price bubbles. Out of the downturn in the real economy, virtual economy "hot" dilemma, Chinese fiscal policy need to speed up the progress of expenditure, increase the "short board" in the field of support; monetary policy should not be further relaxed, neutral moderate, lays stress on the coordination and supervision policy, guide capital off the virtual reality, at the same time according to the change of the market liquidity, choose the appropriate time for hedge. |
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